Job Polarization in the U.S. Labor Market

Subtitle: 
Implications for Employment and Earnings

From Autor's introduction and summary of his job-polarization research paper:

"... since the late 1970s and early 1980s, the rise in U.S. education levels has not kept up with the rising demand for skilled workers, and the slowdown in educational attainment has been particularly severe for males. The result has been a sharp rise in the inequality of wages.

"... [A]significant challenge is that the structure of job opportunities in the United States has sharply polarized over the past two decades, with expanding job opportunities in both high-skill, high-wage occupations and low-skill, low-wage occupations, coupled with contracting opportunities in middle-wage, middle-skill white-collar and blue-collar jobs. Concretely, employment and earnings are rising in both high-education professional, technical, and managerial occupa­tions and, since the late 1980s, in low-education food service, personal care, and protective service occupations. Conversely, job opportunities are declining in both middle-skill, white-collar clerical, administrative, and sales occupations and in middle-skill, blue-collar production, craft, and operative occupations. The decline in middle-skill jobs has been detri­mental to the earnings and labor force participation rates of workers without a four-year college education, and differen­tially so for males, who are increasingly concentrated in low-paying service occupations." < Read more>

First published by the Center for American Progress and the Brookings Institution's Hamilton Project, April 2010..